Do I ship it?

Games › Vehicular Combat › Vehicular Combat + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + Runner

Only 12 developers shipped a Runner Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Camelbirds, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $210 → $119
Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $238 (exactly $238)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 42
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat, Runner
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 49 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $2.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ghostrunner 2 2023 · $9.6M Mighty Goose 2021 · $566k Buck Up And Drive! 2022 · $153k Speed Limit 2021 · $41k Hoples 2021 · $3.6k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Mighty Goose older $19.99 943 86% 28k $566k (exactly $565,517) Blastmode, MP2 Games
Buck Up And Drive! older $7.99 640 91% 19k $153k (exactly $153,408) Fábio Fontes
Speed Limit older $9.99 136 80% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Gamechuck
Hoples older $9.99 12 66% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Amfich
Escape from Nowhere older $9.99 12 83% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) PancakeGames
Power Driver older $4.99 24 95% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Fasu Studio
Mini Car Money Chase older $4.99 20 95% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) xproject
Camelbirds $5.99 16 81% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) 5Centov
Highway Hijinks · EA older $9.99 9 88% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Ode Software
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Tri6: Infinite 2 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Clockwork Origins
Bee Master $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Hamza Soyturkoglu
FrogCore $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Vladyslav Pozdniakov
Drift Desert Race $0.99 8 100% 240 $238 (exactly $238) I_Alakey
Car Soccer Simulator · EA $0.99 4 100% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Kongratz
Endless Asphalt $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Mt. Carmel Games
President Race $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) WolffWare, BuffGames
Turbo Takedown $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Hanging Draw

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.