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Should I ship a Robot Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Robots
Only 13 developers shipped a Robot Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hail to the Rainbow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $950, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1814 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $330 (exactly $330) |
|---|---|
| Median | $945 (exactly $945) |
| Top 25% | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.50 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Robots
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Open World
- Price point
- $4.50 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Emotional
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.50.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,939 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $330. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Invincible | older | $29.99 | 10,055 87% | 302k | $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) | Starward Industries |
| | Hail to the Rainbow | $14.99 | 2,533 90% | 76k | $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) | Носков Сергей | |
| | Nucleares | older | $14.99 | 1,121 84% | 34k | $504k (exactly $504,114) | Iván Marcelo Pretti |
| | The Uncertain: Last Quiet Day | older | $9.99 | 1,680 76% | 50k | $503k (exactly $503,496) | ComonGames |
| | Arctic Awakening | $24.99 | 328 84% | 9.8k | $246k (exactly $245,902) | GoldFire Studios | |
| | Regular Factory: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 210 91% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,937) | mc2games |
| | Satellite Odyssey: Prologue | older | $1.99 | 988 92% | 30k | $59k (exactly $58,984) | Antifreeze Games |
| | Mechanism | older | $12.99 | 147 65% | 4.4k | $57k (exactly $57,286) | Alexander Goodwin |
| | [SUBJECT] | older | $8.99 | 80 85% | 2.4k | $22k (exactly $21,576) | RUDZKI |
| | Silicone-2 | older | $5.99 | 114 64% | 3.4k | $20k (exactly $20,486) | Tort |
| | Desert Angels | $11.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $6.1k (exactly $6,115) | Folding Star | |
| | Last Spaceship | $8.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | 正常游戏 Normal Games | |
| | Botanical Chronicle | $5.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | Metapolis Games | |
| | Robot Anomaly | $3.99 | 15 66% | 450 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Eibriel | |
| | HEAVYDELIC | · EA | $4.50 | 7 42% | 210 | $945 (exactly $945) | Heavydelic studio |
| | Frog Corner | $2.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | Logeiv | |
| | H.Z.T. | $2.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | InterAxis Studio | |
| | Kepler 186F | · EA | $10.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | Axiox Media Technology LTD |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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