Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Robots

Only 13 developers shipped a Robot Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hail to the Rainbow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $950, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1814 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $359 → $359 → $1.8k → $1.8k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $945 (exactly $945)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 48
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Open World
Price point
$4.50 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.50.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,939 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $950, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Invincible older $29.99 10,055 87% 302k $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) Starward Industries
Hail to the Rainbow $14.99 2,533 90% 76k $1.1M (exactly $1,139,090) Носков Сергей
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
The Uncertain: Last Quiet Day older $9.99 1,680 76% 50k $503k (exactly $503,496) ComonGames
Arctic Awakening $24.99 328 84% 9.8k $246k (exactly $245,902) GoldFire Studios
Regular Factory: Escape Room older $9.99 210 91% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) mc2games
Satellite Odyssey: Prologue older $1.99 988 92% 30k $59k (exactly $58,984) Antifreeze Games
Mechanism older $12.99 147 65% 4.4k $57k (exactly $57,286) Alexander Goodwin
[SUBJECT] older $8.99 80 85% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,576) RUDZKI
Silicone-2 older $5.99 114 64% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,486) Tort
Desert Angels $11.99 17 100% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) Folding Star
Last Spaceship $8.99 13 100% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) 正常游戏 Normal Games
Botanical Chronicle $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Metapolis Games
Robot Anomaly $3.99 15 66% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Eibriel
HEAVYDELIC · EA $4.50 7 42% 210 $945 (exactly $945) Heavydelic studio
Frog Corner $2.99 10 90% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Logeiv
H.Z.T. $2.99 5 40% 150 $449 (exactly $449) InterAxis Studio
Kepler 186F · EA $10.99 1 0% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Axiox Media Technology LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.