Do I ship it?

GamesTwin Stick ShooterTwin Stick Shooter + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Twin Stick Shooter?

Twin Stick Shooter + Robots

Of 38 developers who shipped a Robot Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $200; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×215 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 69 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 69 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Twin Stick Shooter + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $64k → $14k → $1.8k → $3.6k → $2.9k → $449 → $76 (still earning) → $4.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Twin Stick Shooter + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $198 (exactly $198)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,910)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 129
Announced 69
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Twin Stick Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Top-Down Shooter, Action Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,208 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $200, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $200. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Twin Stick Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Psychological HorrorFair9 devs · median $718 · 4 announced
  2. + Looter ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  3. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds51 devs · median $11k · 57 announced
  4. + Tower DefensePoor odds12 devs · median $6.7k · 25 announced
  5. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $6.3k · 32 announced
  6. + LootPoor odds24 devs · median $5.4k · 62 announced
  7. + Action RPGPoor odds52 devs · median $5.1k · 96 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds33 devs · median $4.7k · 65 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds64 devs · median $4.6k · 122 announced
  10. + 2D FighterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds30 devs · median $3.0k · 70 announced
  12. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 39 announced

All 90 pairs on the Twin Stick Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising older $19.99 10,111 94% 303k $6.1M (exactly $6,063,567) Flow Fire Games
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition older $24.99 4,580 93% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,626) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
Assault Android Cactus+ older $19.99 1,325 94% 40k $795k (exactly $794,602) Witch Beam
Rogue Stormers older $19.99 649 65% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Black Forest Games
The Mobius Machine older $19.99 442 82% 13k $265k (exactly $265,067) Madruga Works
Go Mecha Ball older $19.99 371 85% 11k $222k (exactly $222,489) Whale Peak Games
Guardians Frontline older $24.99 287 83% 8.6k $215k (exactly $215,164) VirtualAge
RIVE older $14.99 468 83% 14k $210k (exactly $210,460) Two Tribes
NeuroVoider older $13.99 492 77% 15k $206k (exactly $206,492) Flying Oak Games
Genome Guardian 2 · EA $15.99 410 95% 12k $197k (exactly $196,677) Alpherior
Gigantes Ex Machina · EA $14.99 300 84% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) AcrylByte, SEO INSEOK
HSS:Reload $8.99 181 71% 5.4k $49k (exactly $48,816) SmokingBear Studio
Son of a Gun $9.99 80 78% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,976) Crank Goblin
VOIDFACE $8.99 78 96% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) Frog Hat Labs
Aaero2 $14.99 36 94% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) Mad Fellows
Cosmic Coliseum $4.99 55 92% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Exane Games
SANDRIPPER $5.99 35 91% 1.1k $6.3k (exactly $6,290) Mack
WATERPUNK $8.99 21 95% 630 $5.7k (exactly $5,664) R_Games
Dead Oculus $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Andrew Wilker

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.