Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Attack Racing game?

Racing + Time Attack

Of 44 developers who shipped a Time Attack Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 160% on the market; 42 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 160% on the market, 42 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.2k → $1.5k → $1.3k → $94 → $1.5k → $1.8k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $143,454)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 145
Announced 42
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Time Attack; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Driving, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Difficult, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,387 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $750, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  7. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  9. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  10. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  11. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds13 devs · median $21k · 22 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Motor Town: Behind The Wheel · EA older $19.99 8,971 93% 269k $5.4M (exactly $5,379,909) P3 Games
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
Trackmania United Forever older $29.99 2,488 94% 75k $2.2M (exactly $2,238,454) Nadeo
Trackmania® Turbo older $39.99 1,520 66% 46k $1.8M (exactly $1,823,544) Nadeo
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
Cyber Hook older $14.99 3,102 95% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,394,969) Blazing Stick
Marble It Up! Ultra older $29.99 1,060 93% 32k $954k (exactly $953,682) Blueteak, The Engine Company, Shapes an… (Blueteak, The Engine Company, Shapes and Lines, Arcturus Interactive, The Quantum Astrophysicists Guild)
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Slackers - Carts of Glory $12.99 1,984 91% 60k $773k (exactly $773,165) Falling Saints
DEADLINE DELIVERY $14.99 319 85% 9.6k $143k (exactly $143,454) GOOD1 Studios
Ballest of Them All · EA $5.99 110 97% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,767) Low5ive, Action Jackson
Barro F25 $4.99 117 86% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) SC Jogos
Raccoon Roller $14.99 16 100% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Ribcat Games
Barro 2026 $4.99 47 70% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Grishko Games
Drifters Don't Brake: Midnight $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) HackoonDev
Marble Champions $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Luc Versleijen, Neonchimp Games
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.