Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Strategy game?

Strategy + Puzzle Platformer

Of 315 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 300 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 172 developers shipped in the last year and 300 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 300 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 315
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $390 → $208 → $298 → $180 → $210 → $180 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 315
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $839 (exactly $839)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Developers, 2 yr 315
Released games 1,080
Announced 300
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Puzzle Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.00 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 3,811 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 174 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 300 games are announced against 172 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
Monument Valley older $7.99 7,582 98% 227k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,405) ustwo games
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Train Valley 2 older $14.99 2,356 90% 71k $1.1M (exactly $1,059,493) Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timof… (Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timofey Shargorodskiy, Flazm)
The Bridge older $9.99 3,425 87% 103k $1.0M (exactly $1,026,472) Ty Taylor, Vega Castañeda
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
Monument Valley 2 older $7.99 3,526 93% 106k $845k (exactly $845,182) ustwo games
FRAMED Collection older $9.99 2,336 94% 70k $700k (exactly $700,099) Loveshack Entertainment
Carcassonne - Tiles & Tactics older $9.99 1,978 83% 59k $593k (exactly $592,807) Artefacts Studio
Poke ALL Toads $11.99 447 100% 13k $161k (exactly $160,786) SpaceMatra
Piece by Piece $12.99 233 100% 7.0k $91k (exactly $90,800) Neon Polygons
Drill Bird $4.99 379 97% 11k $57k (exactly $56,736) Sebastian Larsson, Andrea Harty, Hampus… (Sebastian Larsson, Andrea Harty, Hampus Melin , Isabelle Neuman, Luiza Flores da Cunha)
HAMSTERMIND $12.99 73 97% 2.2k $28k (exactly $28,448) Righteous Tree
Stardust Skate $2.99 299 98% 9.0k $27k (exactly $26,820) VchiBan, Aetha
Darkway: Murder of King Mere $7.99 78 97% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) IM/MORTAL Studios, Pierce Papke / Ekpap
BOULDER DASH 40th Anniversary $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Bauhaus Bonk $7.99 73 100% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Spoonful Games
It's On The Mouse $11.99 43 81% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) XryEcho

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.