Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Precision Platformer

Of 36 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $119 → $267 → $776 → $299 → $269 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $987 (exactly $987)
Top 5% $8.7k (exactly $8,683)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 82
Announced 30
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Minimalist
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,574 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $270, 1 in 4 over $980, 1 in 20 over $8.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. Nearly all of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
ALTF42 older $7.99 495 75% 15k $119k (exactly $118,652) PUMPKIM
Attempt[42] older $4.99 208 63% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) ThinkOfGames
Super Indie Square older $16.99 18 88% 540 $9.2k (exactly $9,175) Eternal One Games
Stick Tongue $4.99 58 98% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,683) Hunt Games
Super Clown: Lost Diamonds older $4.99 56 82% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Blackth… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Blackthug, NTStudios)
Bambas! $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) DevilishGames
Good Luck $4.99 42 69% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Happybara Games
Super Clown Adventures older $4.99 37 72% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Lazy Climbers $4.99 35 68% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Cool Car Studio
ULTRA VERTIGO $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) TEAGHER STUDIO
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Grave Bros $4.99 8 50% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Editmode
Pirate Guy $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Cow Games
Trump Trade War $1.99 13 84% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.