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Should I ship a Visual Novel Precision Platformer?
Precision Platformer + Visual Novel
Only 7 developers shipped a Visual Novel Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beyond the Ice Palace 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $630 against a market of $480. 9 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $298 (exactly $298) |
|---|---|
| Median | $628 (exactly $628) |
| Top 25% | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 5% | $46k (exactly $46,177) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Precision Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Precision Platformer, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 448 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Precision Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DemonsFair
- + FPSFair
- + GothicFair
- + HorrorFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Action RoguelikeFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Procedural GenerationFair
- + RPGFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Beyond the Ice Palace 2 | $19.99 | 77 63% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | STORYBIRD Studio | |
| | The Gardener and the Wild Vines | older | $9.99 | 50 98% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,985) | Finite Reflection Studios |
| | Wild Journey | older | $2.99 | 156 59% | 4.7k | $14k (exactly $13,993) | Reaper Games |
| | Jump Fucker | older | $4.99 | 43 55% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | DreamBig Games, Lemonhaze Studio |
| | RUSHAWAY | older | $10.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $5.6k (exactly $5,605) | Ninestudios |
| | HopBound | older | $2.99 | 44 79% | 1.3k | $3.9k (exactly $3,947) | Darius Immanuel Guerrero |
| | Green Marquis | older | $4.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | FreeAnimals_Software |
| | Mr.Bottle and his dream | older | $2.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $2.3k (exactly $2,332) | BeyondTheWind |
| | PRIMAFLOOWS | older | $4.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Bartoluw Game |
| | Horny Witch: Crusade | older | $7.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Cute Pen Games |
| | Vital Signs | $2.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | grishkogameplay | |
| | Gisselle's Adventure | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Serch Onodera | |
| | Vribyss Refuge™ Metamorphosis | $1.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | Ernesto Aragon | |
| | Private Matters | $2.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | grishkogameplay | |
| | Unbound | $2.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | grishkogameplay | |
| | Dangerous Walk | $1.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $298 (exactly $298) | Stray Dog Studios | |
| | Moxie | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | ggame | |
| | Show Docs | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | KHX Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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