Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Supernatural

Only 19 developers shipped a Supernatural Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ascending Inferno, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $150 → $298 → $0 (still earning) → $360 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $149 (exactly $149)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,134)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 43
Announced 28
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Linear, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 162 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
They Bleed Pixels older $9.99 2,040 84% 61k $611k (exactly $611,388) Spooky Squid Games Inc.
Volgarr the Viking II older $19.99 85 81% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Digital Eclipse, Crazy Viking Studios
There Was A Caveman older $6.99 108 72% 3.2k $23k (exactly $22,648) Nauris Amatnieks
Ascending Inferno $10.99 55 98% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,134) Oppolyon Studios
GhoulScrapers older $4.99 101 100% 3.0k $15k (exactly $15,120) ShortCake_Cafe, Astryl, Alexandre Laber… (ShortCake_Cafe, Astryl, Alexandre Laberge, VaporXP)
Vindefiant $14.99 31 80% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Blakey Games
Hell Runner $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Moonlight Studio
HELLBOUND INC $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Templo, Rewilder
Jaded $4.99 22 90% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ShellSnore Games
Hollow Witch older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Bad Kid Games
Afterlife Reverie+ $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Nuclear Raven Games
Vribyss Refuge™ Metamorphosis $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Ernesto Aragon
PILLARS OF DESPAIR - Mission Valoria $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) ARCANE ZENITH
After The Afterlife $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) BugBit Studio
ONLYUP SNOW $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Gever Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.