Do I ship it?

Games › Precision Platformer › Precision Platformer + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Space

Of 57 developers who shipped a Space Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 79 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 795% on the market, 79 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $419 → $479 → $418 → $120 → $90 → $719 → $597 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $22,777)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 223
Announced 79
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 495 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Heavenly Bodies 2021 · $2.2M VVVVVV 2010 · $997k Xeodrifter 2014 · $221k Super Magbot 2021 · $61k Planet Cube: Edge 2023 · $49k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
VVVVVV older $4.99 6,657 96% 200k $997k (exactly $996,553) Terry Cavanagh
Xeodrifter older $9.99 738 75% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Atooi
Super Magbot older $9.99 204 89% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) Astral Pixel
Planet Cube: Edge older $14.99 110 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,467) Sunna Entertainment
Beyond Gravity older $1.99 789 88% 24k $47k (exactly $47,103) Qwiboo Ltd
Derelict Star $9.99 155 94% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) gate
Mind Spheres older $4.99 309 83% 9.3k $46k (exactly $46,257) Microblast Games
SATAZIUS older $5.99 183 85% 5.5k $33k (exactly $32,885) ASTRO PORT
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
FlippUp $9.99 76 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Try Again Entertainment
BeDo $4.99 39 100% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Felipe Jimenez, Reborilux
TIRELESS: Prepare For The Adrenaline $4.99 32 84% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) naro
Filtration $19.99 7 100% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Whirligig Studios
Unbound Drift $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Elusive Space Inc.
Gyro $10.00 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,800) twitch.tv/shavemadox
Alien Breakout $1.99 28 100% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Vergiu
POLE VAULT $3.99 13 84% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Mike Jensen, Brian May, Tyler Walters

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.