Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Sci-fi

Of 119 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 185 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×183 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 185 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 185 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 119
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $537 → $776 → $1.1k → $959 → $358 → $359 → $899 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 119
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 5% $87k (exactly $86,956)
Developers, 2 yr 119
Released games 377
Announced 185
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 7,926 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 56 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 185 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SANABI older $14.99 41,700 97% 1.3M $19M (exactly $18,752,490) WONDER POTION
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Thomas Was Alone older $9.99 4,144 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,241,957) Bithell Games
VVVVVV older $4.99 6,657 96% 200k $997k (exactly $996,553) Terry Cavanagh
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Cloudbuilt older $19.99 798 86% 24k $479k (exactly $478,561) Coilworks
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Xeodrifter older $9.99 738 75% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Atooi
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Brave Escape $19.99 145 97% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Hit Start Studios
Derelict Star $9.99 155 94% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) gate
Maseylia : Echoes of the Past $16.99 61 80% 1.8k $31k (exactly $31,092) Sol Brothers
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.