Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Roguelite?

Precision Platformer + Roguelite

Of 32 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 47 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $1.8k → $718 → $449 → $748 → $1.2k → $299 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,632)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 86
Announced 47
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer, Roguelite; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, 2D Platformer, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Side Scroller, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 497 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pogostuck: Rage With Your Friends older $6.99 5,586 85% 168k $1.2M (exactly $1,171,384) Superku
Downwell older $2.99 7,891 96% 237k $708k (exactly $707,823) Moppin
TTV2 older $4.99 1,487 86% 45k $223k (exactly $222,604) Walter Machado
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Spirits Abyss older $8.99 414 96% 12k $112k (exactly $111,656) caiys
Moventure $12.34 239 67% 7.2k $88k (exactly $88,478) Pixelatto
I wanna be The Cat older $6.99 155 90% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,504) Nemega
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
Verlet Ascend older $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sagewind Studio
Bad Pad older $11.99 36 80% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Headbang Games, Oray Studios
Atomic Owl $12.99 30 90% 900 $12k (exactly $11,691) Monster Theater
Eldritch Climb: A Cursed Ascent · EA $12.99 12 100% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Covert Wonders
Mask Around $7.99 17 94% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Rouli
Conquistador · EA $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) bubby
Swamp Up $4.99 18 100% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Torress Studios
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine
Mind Keeper · EA $10.99 6 100% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Blackwing Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.