Do I ship it?

Games › Precision Platformer › Precision Platformer + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Roguelike?

Precision Platformer + Roguelike

Of 44 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 45 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 45 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $2.7k → $718 → $1.8k → $748 → $718 → $240 (still earning) → $733 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,632)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 100
Announced 45
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer, Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Side Scroller, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 13,752 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

White Knuckle 2025 · EA · $6.8M Downwell 2015 · $708k Only Climb: Better Together 2023 · $440k TTV2 2017 · $223k Golfie 2023 · $148k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Downwell older $2.99 7,891 96% 237k $708k (exactly $707,823) Moppin
Only Climb: Better Together older $4.99 2,939 54% 88k $440k (exactly $439,968) Exbyte Studios
TTV2 older $4.99 1,487 86% 45k $223k (exactly $222,604) Walter Machado
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Spirits Abyss older $8.99 414 96% 12k $112k (exactly $111,656) caiys
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Unnamed Pogo Game $6.99 127 85% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) Unnamed Games
Verlet Ascend older $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sagewind Studio
Atomic Owl $12.99 30 90% 900 $12k (exactly $11,691) Monster Theater
PixelBoss: Shattered Depths · EA $2.99 116 75% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,405) Quacky Games
Pit Panic $14.99 16 100% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Flying Rat Studio
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Mask Around $7.99 17 94% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Rouli
NABI $1.99 52 61% 1.6k $3.1k (exactly $3,104) Fancysquare
Conquistador · EA $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) bubby

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.