Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Rhythm Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Rhythm

Of 26 developers who shipped a Rhythm Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 43 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.9k → $3.7k → $178 → $59 → $356 (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,696)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 116
Announced 43
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer, Rhythm; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 212 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Geometry Dash older $4.99 595,606 93% 18M $89M (exactly $89,162,218) RobTop Games
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien older $14.99 1,630 93% 49k $733k (exactly $733,011) Gaijin Games
Electronic Super Joy older $7.99 2,471 89% 74k $592k (exactly $592,299) Michael Todd Games
140 older $4.99 2,054 94% 62k $307k (exactly $307,484) Carlsen Games
BIT.TRIP RERUNNER older $19.99 356 96% 11k $213k (exactly $213,493) Choice Provisions, Gamecraft Studios
Runner3 older $19.99 261 75% 7.8k $157k (exactly $156,522) Choice Provisions
Vectronom older $9.99 263 96% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Ludopium, ARTE France
Aim Climb older $6.80 225 89% 6.8k $46k (exactly $45,900) YuLu
Octahedron: Transfixed Edition older $12.99 115 93% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Demimonde
Krimson older $9.99 115 99% 3.5k $34k (exactly $34,466) CryingPsycho
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games
Skullbreaker $29.99 13 92% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Sharkgame
Hotdangle $17.99 11 100% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Devorange Studio Inc
AeroWave OS $4.99 11 81% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) ByBelka Studio
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Soul Reflex $3.99 11 100% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) UltimaUnleashed
Synthwave Tunnel · EA $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Hard Shark Games
Frog & Roll $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Drunk Frog Studio
Drop Jump $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) F4ntom Games
Draw & Play ! $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Rifaï Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.