Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Puzzle Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Puzzle Platformer

Of 335 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 421 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×75 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 421 games are announced against 181 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 421 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 335
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $505 → $629 → $718 → $1.2k → $449 → $449 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 335
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,591)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,476)
Developers, 2 yr 335
Released games 1,081
Announced 421
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer, Puzzle Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 11,198 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 187 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 421 games are announced against 181 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
Aeterna Noctis older $29.99 1,699 76% 51k $1.5M (exactly $1,528,590) Aeternum Game Studios S.L
PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC older $29.99 1,644 92% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,479,107) NOW PRODUCTION
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
Thomas Was Alone older $9.99 4,144 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,241,957) Bithell Games
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
Monument Valley 2 older $7.99 3,526 93% 106k $845k (exactly $845,182) ustwo games
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
Level Devil $6.99 1,304 91% 39k $273k (exactly $273,449) Unept
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
Bat to the Heavens $14.99 407 95% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) ceroro
LOVE ETERNAL $9.99 453 96% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) brlka
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Brave Escape $19.99 145 97% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Hit Start Studios
Lovish $14.99 120 85% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,964) LABS Works

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.