Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Psychological Horror

Of 158 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×123 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 108 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 108 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 158
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $629 → $1.3k → $1.3k → $719 → $1.7k → $479 → $898 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 158
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,297)
Developers, 2 yr 158
Released games 356
Announced 108
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Funny, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,618 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. Nearly all of the 93 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Geometry Dash older $4.99 595,606 93% 18M $89M (exactly $89,162,218) RobTop Games
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
A Difficult Game About Climbing older $9.99 5,399 87% 162k $1.6M (exactly $1,618,080) Pontypants
Pogostuck: Rage With Your Friends older $6.99 5,586 85% 168k $1.2M (exactly $1,171,384) Superku
Super Meat Boy 3D $24.99 828 87% 25k $621k (exactly $620,752) Sluggerfly, Team Meat
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
I wanna be the Creator older $5.99 2,860 94% 86k $514k (exactly $513,942) Aikesi
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds
Ambidextro $7.99 1,334 98% 40k $320k (exactly $319,760) Majorariatto
BETON BRUTAL older $6.99 1,232 94% 37k $258k (exactly $258,350) Jan Malitschek
LOVE ETERNAL $9.99 453 96% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) brlka
Ikarus Parkour $12.99 195 81% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Vanja Aleksić
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
ZAKO NO AHIRU $6.99 278 87% 8.3k $58k (exactly $58,297) FUファイターズ
Stuck Together $11.99 161 88% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Hugecalf Studios
Driving Is Hard $6.99 200 79% 6.0k $42k (exactly $41,940) Elegant Horse Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.