Do I ship it?

Games › Precision Platformer › Precision Platformer + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Post-apocalyptic

Of 23 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×27 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 41 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 41 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $44k → $449 → $200k → $1.8k → $2.4k → $479 → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,089)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 74
Announced 41
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 403 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BlazBlue Entropy Effect 2024 · $18M The End Is Nigh 2017 · $1.5M Rusted Moss 2023 · $945k BETON BRUTAL 2023 · $258k The Cub 2024 · $200k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BlazBlue Entropy Effect older $19.99 30,410 94% 912k $18M (exactly $18,236,877) 91Act
The End Is Nigh older $14.99 3,291 93% 99k $1.5M (exactly $1,479,963) Edmund McMillen, Tyler Glaiel
Rusted Moss older $19.99 1,575 88% 47k $945k (exactly $944,527) Emlise, happysquared, sunnydaze
BETON BRUTAL older $6.99 1,232 94% 37k $258k (exactly $258,350) Jan Malitschek
The Cub older $14.99 445 80% 13k $200k (exactly $200,116) Demagog Studio
Hans older $4.99 741 85% 22k $111k (exactly $110,928) at0m
Kandria older $19.99 74 91% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Shirakumo Games
Alruna and the Necro-Industrialists $9.99 113 84% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Neckbolt
Icycle: On Thin Ice older $6.99 107 96% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Damp Gnat
Gravity Castle $14.99 38 89% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) Studio LEF
Memori · EA $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) PracticalNPC
Smack Monkey $9.99 32 100% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) DrDrub
WHITE CHOCOLATE $3.99 78 94% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) Bakery of Games
Apple Man $4.99 33 100% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Prime Time Interactive
Filtration $19.99 7 100% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Whirligig Studios
DOSTAVKA $2.99 38 92% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) SASHADEV, SASHA
Jaded $4.99 22 90% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ShellSnore Games
Shtrek $3.99 20 100% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Neraat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.