Do I ship it?

GamesPoint & ClickPoint & Click + Noir

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Noir Point & Click game?

Point & Click + Noir

Of 95 developers who shipped a Noir Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 175 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×1376 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 175 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 175 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Point & Click + Noir
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 95
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $2.7k → $1.3k → $13k → $12k → $7.1k → $1.3k (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Point & Click + Noir: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 95
Bottom 30% $592 (exactly $592)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,386)
Top 5% $654k (exactly $653,577)
Developers, 2 yr 95
Released games 335
Announced 175
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Noir
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Point & Click; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Investigation, Puzzle
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 23,199 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $650k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 175 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Point & Click with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair50 devs · median $5.8k · 56 announced
  3. + Party-Based RPGFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  4. + Life SimFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  5. + Local MultiplayerFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  6. + MiningFair36 devs · median $1.9k · 39 announced
  7. + CookingFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  8. + Escape RoomFair62 devs · median $1.8k · 51 announced
  9. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 20 announced
  10. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  12. + Word GameFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced

All 200 pairs on the Point & Click page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut older $39.99 118,124 92% 3.5M $142M (exactly $141,713,363) ZA/UM
The Wolf Among Us older $14.99 32,494 97% 975k $15M (exactly $14,612,552) Telltale
Murdered: Soul Suspect older $19.99 12,051 87% 362k $7.2M (exactly $7,226,985) Airtight Games
Batman - The Telltale Series older $14.99 15,060 87% 452k $6.8M (exactly $6,772,482) Telltale
The Roottrees are Dead $19.99 9,700 96% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,090) Evil Trout Inc.
Tangle Tower older $19.99 6,483 94% 194k $3.9M (exactly $3,887,855) SFB Games
Blacksad: Under the Skin older $19.99 5,356 83% 161k $3.2M (exactly $3,211,993) Pendulo Studios, YS Interactive
Grim Fandango Remastered older $14.99 7,127 91% 214k $3.2M (exactly $3,205,012) Double Fine Productions, Shiny Shoe
The Drifter $19.99 4,735 97% 142k $2.8M (exactly $2,839,580) Powerhoof, Dave Lloyd
Thimbleweed Park™ older $19.99 3,622 92% 109k $2.2M (exactly $2,172,113) Terrible Toybox
Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping $9.99 2,571 96% 77k $771k (exactly $770,529) Happy Broccoli Games
Kathy Rain 2: Soothsayer $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Clifftop Games
Loco Motive $17.99 1,211 92% 36k $654k (exactly $653,577) Robust Games
In Sink: A Co-op Escape Adventure $14.99 1,432 86% 43k $644k (exactly $643,970) Clock Out Games
Aether & Iron $24.99 521 84% 16k $391k (exactly $390,594) Seismic Squirrel, Chaos Theory Games
LumineNight $24.99 515 87% 15k $386k (exactly $386,096) Spickasoft
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Confidential Killings - A Detective Game $14.99 716 76% 21k $322k (exactly $321,985) BRANE, Lorenzo Boni

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.