Do I ship it?

GamesWord GameWord Game + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Word Game?

Word Game + Mythology

Only 17 developers shipped a Mythological Word Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Séance of Blake Manor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×3517 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 12 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Word Game + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $1.3k → $1.8k → $5.4k → $6.1k → $358 (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Word Game + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,440)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 43
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Word Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Strategy, Idler
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 6,655 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  2. + TacticalFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Point & ClickFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 8 announced
  5. + AutomationFair12 devs · median $1.6k · 11 announced
  6. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  7. + DetectiveFair82 devs · median $1.3k · 90 announced
  8. + Procedural GenerationFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair18 devs · median $1.2k · 16 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair91 devs · median $1.2k · 77 announced
  12. + NatureFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 8 announced

All 98 pairs on the Word Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chants of Sennaar older $19.99 30,416 98% 912k $18M (exactly $18,240,475) Rundisc
The Séance of Blake Manor $19.99 3,683 95% 110k $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695) Spooky Doorway
xiuzhen idle $5.99 2,313 79% 69k $416k (exactly $415,646) 游戏养家工作室
懒人修仙传2 · EA older $7.99 873 71% 26k $209k (exactly $209,258) 托更的修罗
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
挂机神话 older $1.99 1,693 90% 51k $101k (exactly $101,072) 狮子
Touch Type Tale - Strategic Typing $19.99 107 89% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Pumpernickel Studio
Liar Moon Shangri-La older $44.99 21 57% 630 $28k (exactly $28,344) Rejet
God of Word older $4.99 117 76% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Mega Dwarf
修炼成仙 · EA older $1.99 196 67% 5.9k $12k (exactly $11,701) LOSTDING
鸿运修仙传 $5.99 34 76% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) 玉米工作室
fumorenou-wanxiang · EA $9.99 18 72% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) 煌月游戏工作室
Wuwei Cultivation $1.50 107 86% 3.2k $4.8k (exactly $4,815) 程序员小灰
Kupala $6.99 13 84% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Marianna Petrova
Six Shake Coin $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) CSTG-小光
Lone Hero Path $5.99 10 40% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Yamate

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.