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Should I ship a Mythological Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Mythology
Of 30 developers who shipped a Mythological Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $690k, ×1103 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 50 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 25% | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) |
| Top 5% | $693k (exactly $692,654) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 50 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Puzzle
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 3,132 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017 · $60M 
Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga 2024 · $14M 
Apsulov: End of Gods 2019 · $905k 
Spirit of the North 2 2025 · $840k 
Through the Woods 2016 · $709k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice | older | $29.99 | 66,788 90% | 2.0M | $60M (exactly $60,089,164) | Ninja Theory |
| | Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga | older | $49.99 | 9,381 86% | 281k | $14M (exactly $14,068,686) | Ninja Theory |
| | Apsulov: End of Gods | older | $19.99 | 1,509 86% | 45k | $905k (exactly $904,947) | Angry Demon Studio |
| | Spirit of the North 2 | $29.99 | 934 85% | 28k | $840k (exactly $840,320) | Infuse Studio | |
| | Through the Woods | older | $19.99 | 1,183 71% | 35k | $709k (exactly $709,445) | Antagonist |
 | One-Eyed Likho | $19.99 | 1,155 93% | 35k | $693k (exactly $692,654) | Morteshka | |
 | BLACKSHARD | $14.99 | 432 91% | 13k | $194k (exactly $194,270) | Redlock Studio, Enclave | |
 | The End of the Sun | $24.99 | 228 97% | 6.8k | $171k (exactly $170,932) | The End of the Sun Forge | |
 | NOSTALGIC TRAIN | older | $11.99 | 187 76% | 5.6k | $67k (exactly $67,264) | Tatamibeya 畳部屋 |
 | Chronicle of Innsmouth: Mountains of Madness | older | $19.99 | 106 70% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $63,568) | PsychoDev, https://www.atomichorde.com/ |
 | Ghost Buster:Village | $7.99 | 126 77% | 3.8k | $30k (exactly $30,202) | ZV GAMES | |
 | Heart Of Altai | · EA | $7.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $15k (exactly $14,622) | Antelus Games |
 | The Old Flesh of Nuraga | $3.99 | 114 94% | 3.4k | $14k (exactly $13,646) | Studio Ortica | |
 | Clown Is Hungry | $6.99 | 46 93% | 1.4k | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) | Vidas Salavejus | |
 | Kindawn: The Parish Remembers | $9.99 | 26 80% | 780 | $7.8k (exactly $7,792) | ArchReality | |
 | Plum Road Tea Dream | $9.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Samuel Baidoo, Reveal Game Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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