Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Mystery

Of 63 developers who shipped a Mystery Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 28 developers shipped in the last year and 82 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 82 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $418 → $267 → $748 → $358 → $1.2k → $898 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,104)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,780)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 153
Announced 82
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,796 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Thomas Was Alone older $9.99 4,144 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,241,957) Bithell Games
Monument Valley 2 older $7.99 3,526 93% 106k $845k (exactly $845,182) ustwo games
Leap Year older $4.99 3,060 96% 92k $458k (exactly $458,082) Daniel Linssen
LOVE ETERNAL $9.99 453 96% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) brlka
We are Eva older $14.99 95 96% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Totally Normal Creature
Through the Nightmares $19.99 68 97% 2.0k $41k (exactly $40,780) Sandman Team
THE CANON OF BALLS $3.99 287 98% 8.6k $34k (exactly $34,354) Helios Monk
Matter older $4.99 159 88% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) Uki Uki Lab, Concrete Games
Jumpbound $12.99 50 94% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Another Round Entertainment
Gravity Castle $14.99 38 89% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) Studio LEF
PizzaBoy $9.99 53 94% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) Breadless
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games
Memori · EA $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) PracticalNPC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.