Do I ship it?

GamesVehicular CombatVehicular Combat + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + Multiple Endings

Only 12 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ROGUE FLIGHT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×266 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $80k (exactly $80,496)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $167,316)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 28
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat, Multiple Endings
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 757 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROGUE FLIGHT $19.99 279 96% 8.4k $167k (exactly $167,316) Truant Pixel, LLC
Wild Blue Skies $14.99 251 58% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Chuhai Labs, VITEI BACKROOM Inc.
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Dead End City older $14.99 39 92% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Pixel Licker LLC
HORIZON VANGUARD older $14.99 22 90% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) David "Tain" Williams
Drift Reign older $5.99 47 55% 1.4k $8.4k (exactly $8,446) PublishMe Agency Limited
Into the M.A.W. $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Moonrise Studios
Rush Rush Rally Reloaded older $11.99 13 100% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Senile Team
Dr. Trolley's Problem older $4.99 31 54% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Wero
Destination Gemini $8.99 13 100% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Hubert Cachat
Snowscape $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Cosnow, Yim Sang Woo, parser, MEADOWS95
The Chaser's Voyage $19.99 3 100% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Bright at Midnight: A Game Studio
Alastrius: Star-Fighter $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Caledonia Interactive
Doom Drive $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Berk Kalfa
Stacey's Demise - A Prequel to I FORGOT TO TAKE THE CHICKEN OUT OF THE FREEZER $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Yomen Tohmaz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.