Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Modern

Of 62 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 60 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 60 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $2.9k → $5.8k → $2.4k → $898 → $2.3k (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $30,767)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 153
Announced 60
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,806 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
The Scourge | Tai Ương $19.99 1,192 93% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Rare Reversee, Beaztek
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
Platform 8 older $3.99 2,719 86% 82k $325k (exactly $325,464) KOTAKE CREATE
My Lust Wish · EA older $19.99 178 52% 5.3k $107k (exactly $106,747) Biggus Diccus Games
Exit Lust $4.99 513 81% 15k $77k (exactly $76,796) LUST Committee, JingShing
WakuWaku Park $24.99 100 72% 3.0k $75k (exactly $74,970) DOUJIN3ARIES
ВЗЛОМ ЖОПЫ older $0.99 1,987 86% 60k $59k (exactly $59,014) Filasaf Games, V means Valentina Stepan… (Filasaf Games, V means Valentina Stepanovna)
Born Into Fear older $5.99 259 89% 7.8k $47k (exactly $46,542) Just Sauce Studio
Jaden Williams' The Stalking Stairs $2.99 343 88% 10k $31k (exactly $30,767) Jaden Williams
Liminal Universe $4.80 159 60% 4.8k $23k (exactly $22,896) Gvn Games
?? Movie Theater $4.99 149 97% 4.5k $22k (exactly $22,305) riinwin
Take Notes $6.99 93 96% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,502) Stoneware Game Studio
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
Heart Of Altai · EA $7.99 61 80% 1.8k $15k (exactly $14,622) Antelus Games
Kyoto Anomaly $3.99 84 98% 2.5k $10k (exactly $10,055) BiteMe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.