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Should I ship a Modern-Day Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Modern
Of 62 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 60 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) |
| Top 25% | $5.5k (exactly $5,513) |
| Top 5% | $31k (exactly $30,767) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 62 |
| Released games | 153 |
| Announced | 60 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Modern
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Simulation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,806 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Scene Investigators | older | $24.99 | 961 74% | 29k | $720k (exactly $720,462) | EQ Studios |
| | The Scourge | Tai Ương | $19.99 | 1,192 93% | 36k | $715k (exactly $714,842) | Rare Reversee, Beaztek | |
| | Nucleares | older | $14.99 | 1,121 84% | 34k | $504k (exactly $504,114) | Iván Marcelo Pretti |
| | Platform 8 | older | $3.99 | 2,719 86% | 82k | $325k (exactly $325,464) | KOTAKE CREATE |
| | My Lust Wish | · EA older | $19.99 | 178 52% | 5.3k | $107k (exactly $106,747) | Biggus Diccus Games |
| | Exit Lust | $4.99 | 513 81% | 15k | $77k (exactly $76,796) | LUST Committee, JingShing | |
| | WakuWaku Park | $24.99 | 100 72% | 3.0k | $75k (exactly $74,970) | DOUJIN3ARIES | |
| | ВЗЛОМ ЖОПЫ | older | $0.99 | 1,987 86% | 60k | $59k (exactly $59,014) | Filasaf Games, V means Valentina Stepan… (Filasaf Games, V means Valentina Stepanovna) |
| | Born Into Fear | older | $5.99 | 259 89% | 7.8k | $47k (exactly $46,542) | Just Sauce Studio |
| | Jaden Williams' The Stalking Stairs | $2.99 | 343 88% | 10k | $31k (exactly $30,767) | Jaden Williams | |
| | Liminal Universe | $4.80 | 159 60% | 4.8k | $23k (exactly $22,896) | Gvn Games | |
| | ?? Movie Theater | $4.99 | 149 97% | 4.5k | $22k (exactly $22,305) | riinwin | |
| | Take Notes | $6.99 | 93 96% | 2.8k | $20k (exactly $19,502) | Stoneware Game Studio | |
| | Puppet Team | $4.99 | 112 64% | 3.4k | $17k (exactly $16,766) | Editmode | |
| | Heart Of Altai | · EA | $7.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $15k (exactly $14,622) | Antelus Games |
| | Kyoto Anomaly | $3.99 | 84 98% | 2.5k | $10k (exactly $10,055) | BiteMe Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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