Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Modern

Only 12 developers shipped a Modern-Day Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Train Deluxe 2026 Kurakyu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5k, ×7.6 the market median. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $90 → $359 → $479 → $1.3k → $3.1k
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,960)
Top 5% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 41
Announced 12
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 95 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $3.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mr. Run and Jump older $24.99 45 95% 1.4k $34k (exactly $33,736) Graphite Lab, Heavy Horse Games
LOST EGG older $2.99 153 80% 4.6k $14k (exactly $13,724) KIMIDORI SOFT
LOST BUBBLES: Sweet mates older $2.99 79 70% 2.4k $7.1k (exactly $7,086) KIMIDORI SOFT
LOST EGG 3: The Final older $2.99 75 74% 2.3k $6.7k (exactly $6,728) KIMIDORI SOFT
Train Deluxe 2026 Kurakyu $29.99 4 0% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
LOST LIGHT: Bright mates older $3.99 29 48% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) KIMIDORI SOFT
ULTRA VERTIGO $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) TEAGHER STUDIO
LOST EGG the Hard Boiled $2.99 33 42% 990 $3.0k (exactly $2,960) KIMIDORI SOFT
The Static · EA $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) aFonte Games LLC
LOST BALLOONS: Airy mates older $2.99 30 86% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) KIMIDORI SOFT
Gravity's Apple $3.99 11 45% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) TokyoEureka
Xenogen $7.49 4 100% 120 $899 (exactly $899) Sylph
JumpMap $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Radiant Bear Games
Arcade Jumper $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Pineqvist
SeongsuStation $0.99 4 75% 120 $119 (exactly $119) SEONGSULAB
Up, Up And Away Web ! $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Lunar Code Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.