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Should I ship a Military Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Military
Only 13 developers shipped a Military Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Unknown Tapes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×285 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 14 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,158) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) |
| Top 5% | $179k (exactly $179,262) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Military
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Realistic, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 803 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
Hunt Down The Freeman 2018 · $1.1M 
KURSK 2018 · $267k 
Death From Above: A Ukrainian Drone Warstory 2024 · $185k 
Unknown Tapes 2024 · $179k 
A Night Duty 2024 · $21k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hunt Down The Freeman | older | $9.99 | 3,785 54% | 114k | $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) | Royal Rudius Entertainment |
| | KURSK | older | $19.99 | 445 47% | 13k | $267k (exactly $266,866) | Jujubee S.A. |
| | Death From Above: A Ukrainian Drone Warstory | older | $9.99 | 618 89% | 19k | $185k (exactly $185,215) | Rockodile |
| | Unknown Tapes | $12.99 | 460 80% | 14k | $179k (exactly $179,262) | Traviteam Games | |
| | A Night Duty | $6.99 | 99 89% | 3.0k | $21k (exactly $20,760) | Achimphang Studio | |
 | Shellshock | $2.99 | 104 89% | 3.1k | $9.3k (exactly $9,329) | Man the Barricades Ltd | |
 | Hentai Mission Ukraine | older | $1.99 | 140 91% | 4.2k | $8.4k (exactly $8,358) | Who We Are Games |
 | Nightwatch: Closer | older | $4.99 | 55 85% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | Studio Quokkariki |
 | D-Day VR Museum | $14.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Lichtblau IT | |
 | HENTAI: MISSION BOMBASS | older | $1.99 | 100 94% | 3.0k | $6.0k (exactly $5,970) | Who We Are Games |
 | Letters of longing | $2.99 | 32 96% | 960 | $2.9k (exactly $2,870) | Happy Break Bones | |
 | Chornobyl Breakout | $0.99 | 45 71% | 1.4k | $1.3k (exactly $1,336) | Dark Duck Games | |
 | Hentai USSR | $0.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,158) | Who We Are Games | |
 | Deeds were Done 2: Project Ascend | · EA | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Abdulhadi J Alshehri |
 | SNEAKALOT | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Bami Michael | |
 | Hollowborn: The Military Incident | $2.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | Blackguard |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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