Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Medieval

Of 49 developers who shipped a Medieval Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 43 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 43 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $416 → $1.7k → $1.3k → $359 → $1.1k (still earning) → $5.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,456)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,910)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 115
Announced 43
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,956 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Plague Tale: Innocence older $39.99 63,166 93% 1.9M $76M (exactly $75,780,250) Asobo Studio
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer $4.99 1,528 78% 46k $229k (exactly $228,742) AZAMATIKA
The End of the Sun $24.99 228 97% 6.8k $171k (exactly $170,932) The End of the Sun Forge
A Merchant's Promise · EA $14.99 300 86% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) Game Draft Studio
ALTF42 older $7.99 495 75% 15k $119k (exactly $118,652) PUMPKIM
Mystic Academy: Escape Room older $10.99 224 75% 6.7k $74k (exactly $73,853) mc2games
Gnomes and Knights $4.99 372 77% 11k $56k (exactly $55,688) Terletski Games
Tahira: Echoes of the Astral Empire older $14.99 71 66% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Whale Hammer Games
Emilia's PLAYROOM older $15.99 63 49% 1.9k $30k (exactly $30,221) Marmalade Star
Village Merchant $14.99 60 68% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,982) Beast Games S. A., Console Labs S. A.
Ember Seeker $7.99 90 91% 2.7k $22k (exactly $21,573) Lehti E.
Chopped Up $4.99 123 95% 3.7k $18k (exactly $18,413) Dekaizen Studios LLC
Jester: A Foolish Ritual $4.99 103 88% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,419) Fire Foot Studios
Secrets of Velendar Castle - Escape Room $12.99 38 84% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) Biri Biri
The Old Flesh of Nuraga $3.99 114 94% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,646) Studio Ortica

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.