Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Medical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medical Sim Strategy game?

Strategy + Medical Sim

Of 25 developers who shipped a Medical Sim Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $61k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is up 1280% on the market; 38 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1280% on the market, 38 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Medical Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $540k → $2.3k → $2.4k → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Medical Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,774)
Top 5% $61k (exactly $61,475)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 65
Announced 38
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1280% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Medical Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Economy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 2.5D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 892 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $61k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Two Point Hospital older $29.99 26,638 92% 799k $24M (exactly $23,966,209) Two Point Studios
Project Hospital older $24.99 8,387 89% 252k $6.3M (exactly $6,287,734) Oxymoron Games
112 Operator older $24.99 5,688 88% 171k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,294) Jutsu Games
Let's School older $19.99 5,887 92% 177k $3.5M (exactly $3,530,434) Pathea Games
Bio Inc. Redemption older $12.99 3,051 87% 92k $1.2M (exactly $1,188,975) DryGin Studios
Big Pharma older $24.99 1,443 78% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,817) Twice Circled
Weedcraft Inc older $19.99 1,549 79% 46k $929k (exactly $928,935) Vile Monarch
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
Galacticare older $29.99 600 85% 18k $540k (exactly $539,820) Brightrock Games
Potion Tycoon $19.99 629 71% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Snowhound Games
Fable Hospital $24.99 82 75% 2.5k $61k (exactly $61,475) AMGames TC
Dead 4 Now: Bio-Weapon Simulator $14.99 29 75% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) d'Evo
Live Hard, Die Hard $4.99 83 89% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Gelluloid Domination $11.99 13 84% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Tractor Set GO!
Pharma R&D Manager $49.99 3 66% 90 $4.5k (exactly $4,499) Innopede GmbH
Dilemma $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) DrAxelStudio
Cure for Danmaku Synd $6.99 17 100% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) ToAge
Propa. $7.99 11 54% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Contagio Games
Co OPERATION: MultiTurn $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Mind Feast Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.