Games › Rhythm › Rhythm + Match 3
Should I ship a Match 3 Rhythm game?
Rhythm + Match 3
Only 9 developers shipped a Match 3 Rhythm game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Chowdown Kitty, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 6 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) |
| Top 5% | $3.1k (exactly $3,140) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 6 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4460% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Rhythm, Match 3
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 81% positive over 73 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Rhythm with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds
- + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ModernFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + ManagementFair
- + Beat 'em upFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
Project: Mirror 2023 · $66k 
Love Rhythm 2019 · $51k 
Rainbow Reactor 2019 · $32k 
Turba 2010 · $13k 
Chowdown Kitty 2026 · $3.1k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Project: Mirror | older | $4.99 | 444 76% | 13k | $66k (exactly $66,467) | 430Games, ArtistBOA |
| | Love Rhythm | older | $2.99 | 571 78% | 17k | $51k (exactly $51,219) | Triple-S |
| | Rainbow Reactor | older | $14.99 | 71 94% | 2.1k | $32k (exactly $31,929) | Tunermaxx Media GmbH, Muikkumedia Oy |
| | Turba | older | $4.99 | 85 41% | 2.6k | $13k (exactly $12,724) | Binary Takeover |
| | Chowdown Kitty | $2.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $3.1k (exactly $3,140) | Lunar Peace | |
 | A Ridiculous Waste of Time | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Ridiculous Games | |
 | Ultimate Sugar Crush! — Brick Breaker Desire | $2.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | CHOCOLAT, LLC. | |
 | KeyBoard Guitar Master | older | $1.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $896 (exactly $896) | Headbang Studio |
 | BeatHero | $6.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | Rainboar Studios | |
 | Dancing Hime: Rhythm Matching | · EA older | $6.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Youai Xiongdi Information Technology |
 | Ultimate Sugar Crush! | $1.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $418 (exactly $418) | CHOCOLAT, LLC. | |
 | OnlyGame | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | 小桨哥 | |
 | Be touch-and-go | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | FuQianDeBiFang | |
 | Dusky Cap | $0.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Cap | |
 | XIaoXIaoQi | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 草莓派 | |
 | Five Elements Clash Battle | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | YIN YUAN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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