Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Management game?

Management + World War II

Only 12 developers shipped a WWII Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ground of Aces, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×9.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2027 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $902k → $561k → $508k → $2.5k → $6.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,998)
Top 25% $759k (exactly $759,410)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,273,076)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 44
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Management
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,924 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $750k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UBOAT older $29.99 25,568 83% 767k $23M (exactly $23,003,530) Deep Water Studio
Tank Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 8,792 87% 264k $5.3M (exactly $5,272,562) DeGenerals S.A.
Bomber Crew older $15.99 10,416 88% 312k $5.0M (exactly $4,996,555) Runner Duck
Panzer Corps 2 older $39.99 3,512 84% 105k $4.2M (exactly $4,213,346) Flashback Games
Ground of Aces · EA $29.99 1,415 84% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,273,076) Blindflug Studios AG
DEFCON older $11.99 3,460 86% 104k $1.2M (exactly $1,244,562) Introversion Software
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
WW2 Rebuilder older $19.99 1,504 84% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) Madnetic Games
Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks · EA older $29.99 1,000 65% 30k $900k (exactly $899,700) FunGi
KAISERPUNK $29.99 884 71% 27k $795k (exactly $795,335) Overseer Games
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare $39.99 92 60% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Evil Twin Artworks
WEGO World War II: Overlord $39.99 5 80% 150 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Brian Kelly
Of Crowns & Chains · EA $4.99 17 64% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) BlueJayAvis
Get In Get Out $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wessi
Frontline: Afrika Korps $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Frontline: Games Series
Loop My Crank $2.99 14 42% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) GameRoom3 Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.