Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Management game?

Management + Underground

Of 39 developers who shipped an Underground Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $680; 1 in 20 cleared $600k, ×962 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 87 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 87 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $107k → $147k → $31k → $4.2k → $4.9k → $4.3k (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $674 (exactly $674)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,352)
Top 5% $604k (exactly $603,947)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 70
Announced 87
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Mining
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 8,075 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $680, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $600k.

3 in 10 developers made under $680. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
War for the Overworld older $29.99 6,495 85% 195k $5.8M (exactly $5,843,552) Brightrock Games
Mr. Prepper older $19.99 4,795 81% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,875,562) Rejected Games
Until We Die older $16.99 4,221 62% 127k $2.2M (exactly $2,151,444) Pixeye Games
MineMogul · EA $14.99 4,330 96% 130k $1.9M (exactly $1,947,201) NoodleForge (Gvarados & Diomonder)
KeeperRL older $19.99 1,677 83% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,697) Electric Succubi
Coal LLC $14.99 1,343 92% 40k $604k (exactly $603,947) Bye Bye Ocean
Dirty Business · EA $14.99 906 75% 27k $407k (exactly $407,428) Plan Dirty Games
STATIONflow older $17.99 479 85% 14k $259k (exactly $258,516) DMM GAMES
Project Wunderwaffe older $14.99 438 56% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Weasel Games
Mercury Fallen older $24.99 255 80% 7.7k $191k (exactly $191,174) Nitrous Butterfly
Diggin $6.99 635 80% 19k $133k (exactly $133,160) Longshot Studio
Deep Corp · EA $11.99 365 89% 11k $131k (exactly $131,290) KishMish Games
Aground Zero $19.99 121 81% 3.6k $73k (exactly $72,564) Fancy Fish Games
Chipmatic $11.99 158 65% 4.7k $57k (exactly $56,833) Molter
Goblin Lord wants me to become a Virgin Wizard by Managing The Brothel!? $9.99 139 76% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Happy Pillow
Underworld Overseer $19.99 52 90% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) Myron Games
ExoColony: Planet Survival $11.99 26 69% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Simplemole

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.