Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Time Manipulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Management game?

Management + Time Manipulation

Of 25 developers who shipped a Time Manipulation Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2771 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 52 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 52 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Time Manipulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $303k → $89k → $13k → $3.7k → $2.3k → $599 → $629 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Time Manipulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $5.2k (exactly $5,211)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,740,020)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 93
Announced 52
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Time Manipulation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Simulation, Building
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 5,451 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
Phantom Brigade older $29.99 4,412 81% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) Brace Yourself Games
Sovereign Tower $19.99 3,087 93% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) WILD WITS GAMES
Hotel Architect $29.99 1,934 94% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,740,020) Pathos Interactive
Metro Simulator 2 older $14.99 674 65% 20k $303k (exactly $303,098) KishMish Games
SeaOrama: World of Shipping older $19.99 382 58% 11k $229k (exactly $229,085) Hidden Tower, SeaOrama
Magic Research 2 older $5.99 610 92% 18k $110k (exactly $109,617) Maticolotto
Train World older $34.99 85 75% 2.6k $89k (exactly $89,224) Turn Point Games
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
Writer's Rush older $5.99 402 74% 12k $72k (exactly $72,239) Frogstorm
Oasis Mission: Colony Sim $14.99 91 56% 2.7k $41k (exactly $40,923) Lunar pug studio
Day Trade Coach $14.99 17 47% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Ragnar Beaucoup
Hot Springs | 温泉 (Onsen) $3.99 51 74% 1.5k $6.1k (exactly $6,105) Peach Party
Zoo Protocol · EA $5.99 29 93% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) WaveMood
Macht: Cosmic Engine · EA $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kestro Games
Arcade Empire Tycoon $4.99 25 68% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Mind Inside Games
Golden Rails: The heart of the state $6.99 15 93% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Alawar Casual

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.