Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Sailing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sailing Management game?

Management + Sailing

Only 16 developers shipped a Sailing Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Last Caretaker, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.6k, ×8.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×22027 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Sailing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $99k → $13k → $45k → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Sailing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Median $5.6k (exactly $5,571)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,952)
Top 5% $14M (exactly $13,832,947)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 47
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Sailing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Sailing
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 15,860 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $5.6k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last Caretaker · EA $34.99 13,178 86% 395k $14M (exactly $13,832,947) Channel37 Ltd
Sailing Era older $24.99 4,565 78% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) GY Games
Seafarer: The Ship Sim · EA $34.99 1,921 64% 58k $2.0M (exactly $2,016,474) astragon Development
Ships At Sea · EA older $24.99 2,479 69% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) Misc Games
Port Royale 4 older $39.99 1,405 56% 42k $1.7M (exactly $1,685,578) Gaming Minds
Port Royale 3 older $14.99 1,204 72% 36k $541k (exactly $541,439) Gaming Minds Studios
Nantucket older $17.99 782 78% 23k $422k (exactly $422,045) Picaresque Games
SeaOrama: World of Shipping older $19.99 382 58% 11k $229k (exactly $229,085) Hidden Tower, SeaOrama
The Caribbean Sail older $14.99 503 93% 15k $226k (exactly $226,199) Victorian Clambake
Tortuga - A Pirate's Tale older $24.99 132 51% 4.0k $99k (exactly $98,960) Gaming Minds Studios
High Seas, High Profits! $14.99 165 86% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) lexy.zip
Profit Sea Incremental $4.99 327 79% 9.8k $49k (exactly $48,952) Monkey Cube
Global Magnates: Shipping Tycoon $12.99 116 64% 3.5k $45k (exactly $45,205) Aquila Chengdu
The Road To Harvest: Food From Across The Ocean $5.99 75 76% 2.3k $13k (exactly $13,478) MuccyGames
Storm Seas · EA $14.99 19 52% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Dclares Dev
Port Authority $5.99 31 96% 930 $5.6k (exactly $5,571) NFold Games
Dockside Dreams – Fish & Cook Simulator $7.99 22 59% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) C51 Games
The EverFloating Island $19.99 6 33% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) GU GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.