Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Management game?

Management + Puzzle Platformer

Of 26 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90, ×0.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 55% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.9k → $239 → $449 → $599 → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,467)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 72
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Puzzle Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Train Valley 2 older $14.99 2,356 90% 71k $1.1M (exactly $1,059,493) Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timof… (Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timofey Shargorodskiy, Flazm)
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Dwarrows older $29.99 97 69% 2.9k $87k (exactly $87,271) Lithic Entertainment Inc.
Ready, Steady, Ship! older $14.99 103 66% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Jollybits Games
Streaming ON! VTuber Training $6.99 105 65% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,018) Momentum Games
It's On The Mouse $11.99 43 81% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) XryEcho
Polar Penguin Post · EA older $15.99 25 92% 750 $12k (exactly $11,992) Little Lemon Bulb
Oik 4 older $0.99 336 83% 10k $10k (exactly $9,979) Crew Lab
버튜버 파라노이아 - Vtuber Paranoia $14.99 18 94% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) 유진게임즈
Pocket and Zooom $15.99 16 75% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) TechnoBrain
Mimir’s Roulette $4.99 28 96% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Momentum Games
Lust Arena $9.99 10 20% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) HFTGames
Joe Adventure $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Napless Interactive
Golden Arrow $10.99 4 100% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Inblue Games
Satisfying Simulator $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Satisfying Simulator
Time and Space Legacy $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Maxime Schadkowski

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.