Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Management game?

Management + Pirates

Only 16 developers shipped a Pirate Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Corsair Cove, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×5781 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 41 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 41 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $33k → $42k → $13k → $2.3k → $1.5k (still earning) → $17k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,383)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,630,292)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 60
Announced 41
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Corsair Cove $39.99 3,026 85% 91k $3.6M (exactly $3,630,292) Limbic Entertainment
Sailing Era older $24.99 4,565 78% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) GY Games
Port Royale 4 older $39.99 1,405 56% 42k $1.7M (exactly $1,685,578) Gaming Minds
Airship: Kingdoms Adrift older $29.99 902 75% 27k $812k (exactly $811,529) Revolution Industry
The Brew Barons older $21.99 828 75% 25k $546k (exactly $546,232) Lifetap Studios
Port Royale 3 older $14.99 1,204 72% 36k $541k (exactly $541,439) Gaming Minds Studios
Nantucket older $17.99 782 78% 23k $422k (exactly $422,045) Picaresque Games
Republic of Pirates older $24.99 420 70% 13k $315k (exactly $314,874) Crazy Goat Games
The Caribbean Sail older $14.99 503 93% 15k $226k (exactly $226,199) Victorian Clambake
Autonauts vs Piratebots older $19.99 334 80% 10k $200k (exactly $200,300) Denki
High Seas, High Profits! $14.99 165 86% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) lexy.zip
Corsairs - Battle of the Caribbean $14.99 119 33% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Fishing Cactus
Resort Island Simulator $9.99 58 74% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Tenjin Games
Deep Space Outpost $15.99 32 71% 960 $15k (exactly $15,350) Niris Games
The Road To Harvest: Food From Across The Ocean $5.99 75 76% 2.3k $13k (exactly $13,478) MuccyGames
Pirate Cove Simulator $9.99 34 61% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Kool2Play
Maggie's Movies - Second Shot $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Space Fox Games
Moorage · EA $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Daedalus Studios
New Yankee: Pirate Trap $6.99 11 81% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Alawar Casual

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.