Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Management game?

Management + Mystery

Of 71 developers who shipped a Mystery Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 214 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×684 the market median. Revenue is up 255% on the market; 214 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 255% on the market, 214 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 71
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.3k → $2.7k → $2.5k → $3.1k → $1.1k → $899 → $9.4k (still earning) → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 71
Bottom 30% $657 (exactly $657)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,598)
Top 5% $430k (exactly $429,811)
Developers, 2 yr 71
Released games 159
Announced 214
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 10,834 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 214 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Graveyard Keeper older $19.99 39,547 86% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,716,336) Lazy Bear Games
Techtonica $29.99 3,076 64% 92k $2.8M (exactly $2,767,477) Fire Hose Games
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
Mystwood Manor older $19.99 1,362 85% 41k $817k (exactly $816,791) Faerin Games
Surviving the Abyss $19.99 1,044 64% 31k $626k (exactly $626,087) Rocket Flair Studios
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Do No Harm $15.99 896 74% 27k $430k (exactly $429,811) Darts Games
Still There older $14.99 770 87% 23k $346k (exactly $346,269) GhostShark
Fantasy Blacksmith older $9.99 1,019 63% 31k $305k (exactly $305,394) Heaven Brotherhood
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
The Boba Teashop $4.99 1,041 95% 31k $156k (exactly $155,838) Mike Ten
The Succession of Changing Kings $9.99 487 86% 15k $146k (exactly $145,954) KwaKwaGames
Feed the Reactor $6.99 658 82% 20k $138k (exactly $137,983) Adam Travers
Retail Hell $7.99 532 95% 16k $128k (exactly $127,520) LEAP Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.