Do I ship it?

GamesTwin Stick ShooterTwin Stick Shooter + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Twin Stick Shooter?

Twin Stick Shooter + Magic

Of 34 developers who shipped a Magic Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is up 75% on the market; 69 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 75% on the market, 69 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Twin Stick Shooter + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $37k → $359 → $2.8k → $479 → $3.4k → $300 (still earning) → $4.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Twin Stick Shooter + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,696)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,135)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 79
Announced 69
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Twin Stick Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Action Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 347 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Twin Stick Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Psychological HorrorFair9 devs · median $718 · 4 announced
  2. + Looter ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  3. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds51 devs · median $11k · 57 announced
  4. + Tower DefensePoor odds12 devs · median $6.7k · 25 announced
  5. + MedievalPoor odds8 devs · median $6.3k · 32 announced
  6. + LootPoor odds24 devs · median $5.4k · 62 announced
  7. + Action RPGPoor odds52 devs · median $5.1k · 96 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds33 devs · median $4.7k · 65 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds64 devs · median $4.6k · 122 announced
  10. + 2D FighterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced
  11. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds30 devs · median $3.0k · 70 announced
  12. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 39 announced

All 90 pairs on the Twin Stick Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine Parchments older $19.99 4,123 77% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) Frozenbyte
Full Mojo Rampage older $12.99 524 85% 16k $204k (exactly $204,203) Over the Top Games
Savant - Ascent REMIX older $9.99 330 92% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,901) D-Pad Studio
Bosorka older $5.99 404 90% 12k $73k (exactly $72,599) Sengi Games
LONE RUIN older $14.99 152 61% 4.6k $68k (exactly $68,354) Cuddle Monster Games
RICE - Repetitive Indie Combat Experience™ · EA older $4.99 253 73% 7.6k $38k (exactly $37,874) Pirate-Rob
REMEDIUM · EA older $17.99 68 66% 2.0k $37k (exactly $36,700) Sobaka Studio
Sun Down Survivors older $4.99 185 50% 5.6k $28k (exactly $27,694) Pixel Sprout Studios
VOIDFACE $8.99 78 96% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) Frog Hat Labs
Devil Jam $7.99 84 69% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Rogueside
Solomon's Boneyard: Hideous Retro Edition $7.99 60 91% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,382) Raptisoft
Claws of Soria: Escape the Succubus Night $12.99 25 64% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) Byakko MeiMei
Honeymancer · EA $12.99 22 95% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) Lukas Lundin
Infinicrypt $12.49 16 100% 480 $6.0k (exactly $5,995) Brett Page
Roll The Bones · EA $9.99 17 88% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Shrimp Industries
WIZARD PUNKS!!! $6.99 23 95% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) EyeOfStormCat
Neon Spellstorm $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) TopCog
Under a Desert Sun: Seekers of the Cursed Vessel · EA $24.99 6 100% 180 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Revolving Gear Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.