Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Magic

Of 38 developers who shipped a Magic Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 82 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 140% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 82 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $1.6k → $1.9k → $17k → $150 → $898 → $3.0k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 5% $195k (exactly $194,902)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 132
Announced 82
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 2,118 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lone Fungus older $19.99 751 85% 23k $450k (exactly $450,375) BASTI GAMES
Ambidextro $7.99 1,334 98% 40k $320k (exactly $319,760) Majorariatto
Lunistice older $4.99 1,812 95% 54k $271k (exactly $271,256) A Grumpy Fox
Symphonia $19.99 325 88% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Sunny Peak
PsiloSybil $12.99 232 85% 7.0k $90k (exactly $90,410) bad_vertex
Splodey older $12.99 224 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $87,293) Send It Studios
Desvelado older $6.99 352 98% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) Valentín Zacarías, Pablo Cuello, Joacoy… (Valentín Zacarías, Pablo Cuello, Joacoyco)
The Shape of Things older $6.99 267 88% 8.0k $56k (exactly $55,990) Hyper Three Studio
Volgarr the Viking II older $19.99 85 81% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Digital Eclipse, Crazy Viking Studios
We are Eva older $14.99 95 96% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Totally Normal Creature
Abyss Runner $6.99 105 86% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,018) Asuwawagami
Gravity Castle $14.99 38 89% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) Studio LEF
Endless Wonder VR $14.99 28 89% 840 $13k (exactly $12,592) Gentlemen Studio
PURPLEARC $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) akarmyu
Violet Mind and The Mysterious Island $12.99 10 100% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) PLukol
Three Bulky Bears $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Storytime Games
Jaded $4.99 22 90% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ShellSnore Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.