Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Management game?

Management + Magic

Of 126 developers who shipped a Magic Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 336 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×369 the market median. Revenue is up 315% on the market; 336 games are announced against 79 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 315% on the market, 336 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 126
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $3.8k → $2.7k → $4.6k → $1.5k → $3.3k → $2.9k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 126
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,880)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,189)
Top 5% $231k (exactly $231,482)
Developers, 2 yr 126
Released games 306
Announced 336
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 315% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Resource Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 21,470 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 61 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 336 games are announced against 79 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Cat Mail Co. $14.99 6,289 92% 189k $2.8M (exactly $2,828,163) Maracas Studio
Spellcaster University older $24.99 3,424 83% 103k $2.6M (exactly $2,566,973) Sneaky Yak Studio
Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim $24.90 2,938 77% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686) Rockbee Team
Force of Nature 2: Ghost Keeper older $15.99 2,040 79% 61k $979k (exactly $978,588) A.Y.std
Tower Wizard $2.99 8,787 96% 264k $788k (exactly $788,194) Barribob
Conan Unconquered older $19.99 1,203 70% 36k $721k (exactly $721,439) Petroglyph
Masters of Albion · EA $24.99 607 64% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) 22cans
Potion Tycoon $19.99 629 71% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Snowhound Games
Immortal Realms: Vampire Wars older $29.99 408 62% 12k $367k (exactly $367,078) Palindrome Interactive
Bloodgrounds $19.99 561 77% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) Exordium Games
Dungeon Inn · EA $12.99 594 92% 18k $231k (exactly $231,482) Cat Society
MoteMancer · EA $29.99 243 91% 7.3k $219k (exactly $218,627) CyanAvatar Studios
Wizdom Academy · EA $21.99 235 62% 7.1k $155k (exactly $155,030) Kipwak Studio, Lake On Fire
Poly TD $7.99 587 82% 18k $141k (exactly $140,704) Naroot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.