Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Logic

Of 86 developers who shipped a Logic Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×157 the market median. Revenue is up 365% on the market; 100 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 365% on the market, 100 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 86
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $3.1k → $1.3k → $2.3k → $1.7k → $479 → $2.4k (still earning) → $3.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 86
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $74,433)
Developers, 2 yr 86
Released games 233
Announced 100
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 365% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,408 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Riven older $34.99 2,764 92% 83k $2.9M (exactly $2,901,371) Cyan Worlds, Inc.
The Gardens Between older $19.99 2,362 93% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) The Voxel Agents
Taiji older $24.99 1,135 92% 34k $851k (exactly $850,910) Matthew VanDevander
Botany Manor older $24.99 1,028 94% 31k $771k (exactly $770,692) Balloon Studios
Scene Investigators older $24.99 961 74% 29k $720k (exactly $720,462) EQ Studios
The Inheritance of Crimson Manor older $19.99 907 87% 27k $544k (exactly $543,928) MediaCity Games
Nucleares older $14.99 1,121 84% 34k $504k (exactly $504,114) Iván Marcelo Pretti
The Cabin Factory $2.99 3,455 90% 104k $310k (exactly $309,914) International Cat Studios
Call of the Elder Gods $24.99 313 89% 9.4k $235k (exactly $234,656) Out of the Blue Games
Chroma Zero $9.99 317 96% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) ekorz
Newton's Fourth Law · EA $11.99 224 93% 6.7k $81k (exactly $80,573) Newtonian Studios
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games
Dream Cage $7.99 298 63% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Hitori De Productions
Secrets of Blackrock Manor - Escape Room $9.99 222 80% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,533) Biri Biri
Ire: A Prologue $19.99 77 61% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) ProbablyMonsters
PAGER $9.99 139 88% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) bilge
Rehaunted $7.99 172 66% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) Cauchemar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.