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Should I ship a Logic Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Logic
Of 86 developers who shipped a Logic Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×157 the market median. Revenue is up 365% on the market; 100 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 25% | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $74,433) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 86 |
| Released games | 233 |
| Announced | 100 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 365% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Logic
- effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,408 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Talos Principle 2 | older | $29.99 | 12,478 94% | 374k | $11M (exactly $11,226,457) | Croteam |
| | Riven | older | $34.99 | 2,764 92% | 83k | $2.9M (exactly $2,901,371) | Cyan Worlds, Inc. |
| | The Gardens Between | older | $19.99 | 2,362 93% | 71k | $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) | The Voxel Agents |
| | Taiji | older | $24.99 | 1,135 92% | 34k | $851k (exactly $850,910) | Matthew VanDevander |
| | Botany Manor | older | $24.99 | 1,028 94% | 31k | $771k (exactly $770,692) | Balloon Studios |
| | Scene Investigators | older | $24.99 | 961 74% | 29k | $720k (exactly $720,462) | EQ Studios |
| | The Inheritance of Crimson Manor | older | $19.99 | 907 87% | 27k | $544k (exactly $543,928) | MediaCity Games |
| | Nucleares | older | $14.99 | 1,121 84% | 34k | $504k (exactly $504,114) | Iván Marcelo Pretti |
| | The Cabin Factory | $2.99 | 3,455 90% | 104k | $310k (exactly $309,914) | International Cat Studios | |
| | Call of the Elder Gods | $24.99 | 313 89% | 9.4k | $235k (exactly $234,656) | Out of the Blue Games | |
| | Chroma Zero | $9.99 | 317 96% | 9.5k | $95k (exactly $95,005) | ekorz | |
| | Newton's Fourth Law | · EA | $11.99 | 224 93% | 6.7k | $81k (exactly $80,573) | Newtonian Studios |
| | Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room | $12.99 | 191 81% | 5.7k | $74k (exactly $74,433) | mc2games | |
| | Dream Cage | $7.99 | 298 63% | 8.9k | $71k (exactly $71,431) | Hitori De Productions | |
| | Secrets of Blackrock Manor - Escape Room | $9.99 | 222 80% | 6.7k | $67k (exactly $66,533) | Biri Biri | |
| | Ire: A Prologue | $19.99 | 77 61% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | ProbablyMonsters | |
| | PAGER | $9.99 | 139 88% | 4.2k | $42k (exactly $41,658) | bilge | |
| | Rehaunted | $7.99 | 172 66% | 5.2k | $41k (exactly $41,228) | Cauchemar |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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