Do I ship it?

GamesRhythmRhythm + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Rhythm game?

Rhythm + Logic

Only 18 developers shipped a Logic Rhythm game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rhythia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×511 the market median. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 17 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Rhythm + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $5.8k → $119 → $12k → $180 (still earning) → $269 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Rhythm + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $243k (exactly $242,871)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 65
Announced 17
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.95

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Rhythm, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Arcade
Price point
$3.95 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $3.95.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Rhythm with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $18k · 52 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $7.8k · 13 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Fair23 devs · median $7.2k · 26 announced
  7. + ManagementFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair21 devs · median $3.1k · 17 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  11. + SimulationFair114 devs · median $980 · 100 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced

All 110 pairs on the Rhythm page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rhythia · EA $3.99 2,029 83% 61k $243k (exactly $242,871) Capo Games
ADEN $8.99 670 96% 20k $181k (exactly $180,699) takayakata
Q REMASTERED older $8.99 423 82% 13k $114k (exactly $114,083) liica, Inc.
Rap Pop Jump Core older $29.99 91 89% 2.7k $82k (exactly $81,873) Galactic Geckon
Vectronom older $9.99 263 96% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Ludopium, ARTE France
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Temple Of Snek older $14.99 102 90% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Aetheric Games
Rytmos older $14.99 89 79% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Floppy Club
Zombodesert older $49.99 12 91% 360 $18k (exactly $17,996) Gamesforgames
Spaceship Driver License older $49.99 11 100% 330 $16k (exactly $16,497) Gamesforgames
Skullbreaker $29.99 13 92% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Sharkgame
Not a bug $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) NeuroSlop Studio
Arcadox $0.99 11 100% 330 $327 (exactly $327) Gamesforgames
Triangles $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) DETUNE LTD
Water Sort:Alchemy $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) FWGames
TheMute $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 大飞, Soundspak
SongSurfer $0.99 5 80% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Luftmensch

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.