Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Management game?

Management + Investigation

Of 43 developers who shipped an Investigation Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×684 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 122 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 122 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $40k → $144k → $959 → $15k → $1.3k → $4.3k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,671)
Top 5% $430k (exactly $429,811)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 93
Announced 122
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Investigation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 11,538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
Parcel Simulator $17.99 2,804 93% 84k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,319) Dansan Digital
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Sigma Theory: Global Cold War older $17.99 892 77% 27k $481k (exactly $481,412) Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTi… (Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTigre)
Do Not Feed the Monkeys 2099 older $14.99 1,036 68% 31k $466k (exactly $465,889) Fictiorama Studios
Do No Harm $15.99 896 74% 27k $430k (exactly $429,811) Darts Games
Counter Terrorist Agency older $19.99 479 43% 14k $287k (exactly $287,256) Play2Chill
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
Repair this! older $6.99 786 88% 24k $165k (exactly $164,824) HGISoft
Airport X-Ray Simulator · EA $12.99 253 80% 7.6k $99k (exactly $98,594) Rainbow Lab
Anoxia Station $14.99 179 76% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Bonereaders
DRUDGE · EA $12.99 139 94% 4.2k $54k (exactly $54,168) Writegg
Airport Baggage Simulator $17.99 100 92% 3.0k $54k (exactly $53,970) Three River Games (3RG)
LAN Party Adventures $14.99 93 89% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) LEAP Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.