Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Management game?

Management + Interactive Fiction

Of 77 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 164 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1205 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 164 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 164 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 77
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $2.5k → $6.2k → $6.2k → $2.7k → $3.1k → $9.0k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 77
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 5% $757k (exactly $757,042)
Developers, 2 yr 77
Released games 200
Announced 164
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 17,523 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 164 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Not For Broadcast older $24.99 10,337 94% 310k $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) NotGames
Summer Clover older $17.99 9,062 97% 272k $4.9M (exactly $4,890,761) Connection
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante older $19.99 8,151 89% 245k $4.9M (exactly $4,888,155) Sever, Schisma Games
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown $34.99 4,162 79% 125k $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) Gamexcite
Tavern Keeper 🍻 · EA $29.99 4,563 94% 137k $4.1M (exactly $4,105,331) Greenheart Games 💚
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
Sovereign Tower $19.99 3,087 93% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) WILD WITS GAMES
风信楼 older $11.99 3,423 94% 103k $1.2M (exactly $1,231,253) Pingfang Games
Happiness Double Room older $12.99 2,878 90% 86k $1.1M (exactly $1,121,557) Connection
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
Corruption Town · EA $14.99 992 88% 30k $446k (exactly $446,102) BoredBasmati
Wax Heads $14.99 508 96% 15k $228k (exactly $228,448) Patattie Games
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
Kurage Life $10.99 588 90% 18k $194k (exactly $193,864) TAIL-AKI
Dead Reckoning: The Long Drift · EA $14.99 174 83% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Garan Lorn
Terraformental · EA $5.99 365 97% 11k $66k (exactly $65,590) Shady Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.