Games › Walking Simulator › Walking Simulator + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Historical
Of 42 developers who shipped a Historical Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×119 the market median. Revenue is up 420% on the market; 64 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,870) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,985) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $74,433) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 42 |
| Released games | 182 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.25 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 420% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
- Price point
- $6.25 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.25.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,777 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
A Plague Tale: Innocence 2019 · $76M 
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018 · $19M 
Call of the Sea 2020 · $2.7M 
This Bed We Made 2023 · $2.4M 
Summer of '58 2021 · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | A Plague Tale: Innocence | older | $39.99 | 63,166 93% | 1.9M | $76M (exactly $75,780,250) | Asobo Studio |
| | Return of the Obra Dinn | older | $19.99 | 32,309 96% | 969k | $19M (exactly $19,375,707) | Lucas Pope |
| | Call of the Sea | older | $19.99 | 4,535 87% | 136k | $2.7M (exactly $2,719,640) | Out of the Blue Games |
| | This Bed We Made | older | $24.99 | 3,187 90% | 96k | $2.4M (exactly $2,389,294) | Lowbirth Games |
| | Summer of '58 | older | $8.99 | 4,540 89% | 136k | $1.2M (exactly $1,224,438) | EMIKA_GAMES |
 | Kholat | older | $19.99 | 2,036 67% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,220,989) | IMGN.PRO |
 | The Town of Light | older | $18.99 | 2,052 79% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,169,024) | LKA |
 | Where the Water Tastes Like Wine | older | $19.99 | 1,425 76% | 43k | $855k (exactly $854,572) | Dim Bulb Games, Serenity Forge |
 | Botany Manor | older | $24.99 | 1,028 94% | 31k | $771k (exactly $770,692) | Balloon Studios |
 | 11-11 Memories Retold | older | $29.99 | 669 89% | 20k | $602k (exactly $601,899) | Aardman Animations, Digixart |
 | The Berlin Apartment | $24.99 | 410 92% | 12k | $307k (exactly $307,377) | Blue Backpack | |
 | The Caribou Trail | $12.99 | 636 90% | 19k | $248k (exactly $247,849) | Unreliable Narrators, Manavoid Entertai… (Unreliable Narrators, Manavoid Entertainment) | |
 | Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room | $12.99 | 191 81% | 5.7k | $74k (exactly $74,433) | mc2games | |
 | Greed Stays Home | $4.99 | 241 87% | 7.2k | $36k (exactly $36,078) | Yellow Basement Games | |
 | The Amusement | $21.99 | 41 80% | 1.2k | $27k (exactly $27,048) | Curvature Games, ARTE France | |
 | Island Off Outer Darkness | $13.99 | 49 100% | 1.5k | $21k (exactly $20,565) | Zugerujk | |
 | 火起雪中寺 | $10.99 | 59 77% | 1.8k | $19k (exactly $19,452) | 江湖奇事录 | |
 | Salvation: Echoes of War | $19.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) | Infinite Entropy | |
 | Shellshock | $2.99 | 104 89% | 3.1k | $9.3k (exactly $9,329) | Man the Barricades Ltd | |
 | Retro Relics | $9.99 | 30 90% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | HistoryXPlorer |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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