Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Thriller

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Thriller Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Thriller

Of 237 developers who shipped a Thriller Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 233 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $41k, ×88 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 233 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 233 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Thriller
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 237
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $6.5k → $1.0k → $2.5k → $1.1k → $1.2k → $959 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Thriller: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 237
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,539)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,822)
Developers, 2 yr 237
Released games 551
Announced 233
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Thriller
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Walking Simulator
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 127,836 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 141 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 233 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
The Mortuary Assistant older $24.99 7,269 92% 218k $5.4M (exactly $5,449,569) DarkStone Digital
The Room Two older $4.99 21,056 97% 632k $3.2M (exactly $3,152,083) Fireproof Games
Agatha Christie - Murder on the Orient Express older $39.99 1,080 82% 32k $1.3M (exactly $1,295,676) Microids Studio Lyon
The Bunker older $14.99 1,644 69% 49k $739k (exactly $739,307) Splendy Interactive, Wales Interactive
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Cthulhu: The Cosmic Abyss $39.99 262 54% 7.9k $314k (exactly $314,321) Big Bad Wolf
Dollmare $4.99 2,045 94% 61k $306k (exactly $306,136) Alex Grade, gonzeek, Oxeren
True Fear: Forsaken Souls Part 1 older $8.99 1,108 92% 33k $299k (exactly $298,828) Goblinz Enterprises Ltd
Agatha Christie - Death on the Nile $39.99 221 78% 6.6k $265k (exactly $265,134) Microids Studio Lyon
Aurora Hills: Chapter 2 $7.99 533 98% 16k $128k (exactly $127,760) NovaSoft Interactive Ltd.
Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- $7.99 360 74% 11k $86k (exactly $86,292) 日本事故物件監視協会
The Apocalypse Sacrifice $9.99 223 95% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,833) FOG GAMES
Secrets of Blackrock Manor - Escape Room $9.99 222 80% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,533) Biri Biri
LiDAR Exploration Program $5.99 302 90% 9.1k $54k (exactly $54,269) KenForest

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.