Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Strategy game?

Strategy + Hidden Object

Of 201 developers who shipped a Hidden Object Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 217 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 109 developers shipped in the last year and 217 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 217 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 201
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $537 → $958 → $535 → $599 → $629 → $299 → $610 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 201
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $327 (exactly $327)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $1,970)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $42,427)
Developers, 2 yr 201
Released games 745
Announced 217
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Hidden Object; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 10,097 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $330, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $42k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 154 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 217 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Witch It older $19.99 14,540 89% 436k $8.7M (exactly $8,719,638) Barrel Roll Games
I Expect You To Die older $24.99 2,169 95% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,626,099) Schell Games
The Artisan of Glimmith $12.99 2,513 97% 75k $979k (exactly $979,316) Lunarch Studios
Minami Lane older $4.99 6,089 97% 183k $912k (exactly $911,523) Blibloop, Doot
Last Room older $29.99 953 73% 29k $857k (exactly $857,414) Quantum Forge Studios
The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake $24.99 897 86% 27k $672k (exactly $672,481) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
Ship, Inc. $9.99 2,168 83% 65k $650k (exactly $649,750) Rogue Duck Interactive
Sizeable older $6.99 3,093 97% 93k $649k (exactly $648,602) Business Goose Studios
The House of Tesla: Definitive Edition $24.99 836 72% 25k $627k (exactly $626,749) Blue Brain Games
Lost But Found $6.99 2,316 71% 69k $486k (exactly $485,665) Rogue Duck Interactive
Cozy Organizer $7.99 649 67% 19k $156k (exactly $155,565) Rogue Duck Interactive
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Airport X-Ray Simulator · EA $12.99 253 80% 7.6k $99k (exactly $98,594) Rainbow Lab
Piece by Piece $12.99 233 100% 7.0k $91k (exactly $90,800) Neon Polygons
Frozen Ship · EA $19.99 142 76% 4.3k $85k (exactly $85,157) Nionetix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.