Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Sokoban

Only 10 developers shipped a Sokoban Hidden Object in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $550, ×4.6 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $7.1k, ×60 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hidden Object + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $551 (exactly $551)
Top 25% $955 (exactly $955)
Top 5% $7.1k (exactly $7,130)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 14
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Hidden Object, Sokoban
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 58% positive over 66 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $550, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $7.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
Crossroad OS older $4.99 302 98% 9.1k $45k (exactly $45,209) Guy, Daisy Games
I'm on Observation Duty 3 older $2.99 351 77% 11k $31k (exactly $31,485) Notovia
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Princess Castle Quest older $9.99 43 97% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,887) Piggybank Studios
Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator $6.99 34 61% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Violet Soft
Munchy Mammals older $4.99 29 100% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Hjalte Tagmose
Laruaville 11 Match 3 Puzzle older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) LGT SIA
Cursed House 12 older $12.99 7 85% 210 $2.7k (exactly $2,728) LGT SIA
Mr.Robbo $9.99 5 40% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) It8bit Club
Idol Hacked! $1.99 16 43% 480 $955 (exactly $955) theNeko
Cursed House 8 $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) LGT SIA
ARROW WORLD $4.59 4 100% 120 $551 (exactly $551) ATOKESHI
The Visitor Effect: Not an experiment $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Mystic Morgue
Gridwalker $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Crawlcks Studio
Bob's Crystals $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RedFlare game studios
记忆收藏家 · The Memory Mender $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Xiang
PHANTOM TAG: MANIFEST $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Claytechworks, C&R Creative Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.