Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Psychological

Of 220 developers who shipped a Psychological Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 220 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $44k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 220 games are announced against 129 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 220 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 220
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $2.7k → $2.4k → $2.1k → $987 → $718 → $839 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 220
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,389)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $44,105)
Developers, 2 yr 220
Released games 484
Announced 220
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Walking Simulator
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,235 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 115 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 220 games are announced against 129 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fran Bow older $14.99 20,579 97% 617k $9.3M (exactly $9,254,376) Killmonday Games AB
Bad Dream: Coma older $8.99 1,968 91% 59k $531k (exactly $530,770) Desert Fox
Slender Threads $19.99 574 90% 17k $344k (exactly $344,228) Blyts
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Anomaly Exit older $5.99 1,118 89% 34k $201k (exactly $200,905) ExamlGuy
Leila $11.99 551 86% 17k $198k (exactly $198,195) Ubik Studios
My Beautiful Paper Smile older $14.99 353 82% 11k $159k (exactly $158,744) Two Star Games
I'm on Observation Duty 7 $11.99 426 93% 13k $153k (exactly $153,232) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年 older $19.99 249 85% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) 213℉
10 Dead Doves $24.99 195 88% 5.9k $146k (exactly $146,192) Duonix Studios, Mark Byram II, Sean-Mic… (Duonix Studios, Mark Byram II, Sean-Michael Millard)
Aurora Hills: Chapter 2 $7.99 533 98% 16k $128k (exactly $127,760) NovaSoft Interactive Ltd.
The Anomaly Project $7.99 531 81% 16k $127k (exactly $127,281) Kekdot
CAPTURED $6.45 627 95% 19k $121k (exactly $121,324) Puck Redflix
Don't Be Afraid 2 $16.99 201 71% 6.0k $102k (exactly $102,450) Eneida Games, Cat-astrophe Games
Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- $7.99 360 74% 11k $86k (exactly $86,292) 日本事故物件監視協会
I'm on Observation Duty 8 $11.99 237 95% 7.1k $85k (exactly $85,249) Notovia, Dreamloop Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.