Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Modern

Of 47 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $610; 1 in 20 cleared $27k, ×58 the market median. Revenue is up 300% on the market; 51 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 300% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $5.3k → $1.6k → $598 → $1.5k → $5.5k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $610 (exactly $610)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $9,017)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,566)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 108
Announced 51
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 300% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,480 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $610, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.0k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $610. 9 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shashingo: Learn Japanese with Photography older $19.99 653 90% 20k $392k (exactly $391,604) Autumn Pioneer
Platform 8 older $3.99 2,719 86% 82k $325k (exactly $325,464) KOTAKE CREATE
Tiny Room Stories: Town Mystery older $9.99 812 86% 24k $243k (exactly $243,356) Kiary Games
Umfend older $9.99 653 90% 20k $196k (exactly $195,704) AIHASTO
Airport X-Ray Simulator · EA $12.99 253 80% 7.6k $99k (exactly $98,594) Rainbow Lab
Hachishakusama | 八尺様がいた夏休み $7.44 388 94% 12k $87k (exactly $86,602) Fukachi World
Natsuno-Kanata: Beyond Summer older $10.99 127 91% 3.8k $42k (exactly $41,872) Kazuhide Oka
Recolit older $14.99 88 87% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Image Labo, Marudice
Mom got stuck in the washing machine older $2.49 382 81% 11k $29k (exactly $28,535) Mad Mike Production
Cleaning Simulator $7.99 115 64% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) Damaged Games
Paragnosia $3.99 228 92% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Sine Coda
Paragnosia: Museum $5.99 139 87% 4.2k $25k (exactly $24,978) Sine Coda
Take Notes $6.99 93 96% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,502) Stoneware Game Studio
UNHEIM · EA $11.99 53 90% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,064) Lovely Bytes
Irbet Tong $6.99 56 100% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Kyhynngy Oyuur
Blueman $4.99 71 92% 2.1k $11k (exactly $10,629) Ankoku
Kyoto Anomaly $3.99 84 98% 2.5k $10k (exactly $10,055) BiteMe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.