Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Match 3

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Match 3 Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Match 3

Of 35 developers who shipped a Match 3 Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 15 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Match 3
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $719 → $449 → $899 → $359 → $419 → $269 (still earning) → $356 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Match 3: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $809 (exactly $809)
Top 5% $2.9k (exactly $2,878)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 267
Announced 15
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Match 3
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Hidden Object, Match 3; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Point & Click, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 97 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $2.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 45 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Minesweeper: Collector older $7.99 132 88% 4.0k $32k (exactly $31,640) Anton Kryukov
Cave Quest older $9.99 84 94% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) MD Studio
Storm Tale 2 older $9.99 74 89% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Green Sauce Games
Cave Quest 2 older $12.99 52 92% 1.6k $20k (exactly $20,264) MD Studio
Jewel Match Origins - Palais Imperial Collector's Edition older $9.99 59 89% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Suricate Software
PumPum 2 older $3.99 143 83% 4.3k $17k (exactly $17,117) Shmoops Games
Mystika 3 : Awakening of the dragons older $5.99 72 93% 2.2k $13k (exactly $12,938) Unikgame
Jewel Match Twilight 3 Collector's Edition older $9.99 42 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Suricate Software
Jewel Match Dracula Collector's Edition $13.99 28 89% 840 $12k (exactly $11,752) Suricate Software
Endless mahjong older $34.99 10 100% 300 $10k (exactly $10,497) ZenTile Games
Seven Seas Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $15.99 6 100% 180 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) Anawiki Games
Amazing Weekend 2 - Search and Relax Collector's Edition $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Avi Games
Jixo: The Season of Joy Collector's Edition $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) MixoGames Ltd.
Hentai Merge Dice $1.99 25 80% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) theNeko
Gem Tales $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Kasual Kode
Jixo 3: Hidden Horizons Collector's Edition $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) MixoGames Ltd.
Dual Discovery: Unite Challenge 寻踪觅影:合二为一 $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Happy Fish
Maze of Realities: Synergy of Worlds Collector's Edition $8.99 4 50% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Do Games Limited
Home for Friends: Beloved Pets Collector's Edition $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Do Games Limited

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.