Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Idler

Of 40 developers who shipped an Idler Hidden Object in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 49 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 49 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.7k → $298 → $239 → $1.4k → $239 → $449 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,746)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $153,232)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 153
Announced 49
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Hidden Object, Idler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Simulation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,516 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SchoolBoy Runaway $1.99 3,731 90% 112k $223k (exactly $222,741) Linked Squad
I'm on Observation Duty 7 $11.99 426 93% 13k $153k (exactly $153,232) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Dead District: Survival older $9.99 415 48% 12k $124k (exactly $124,376) BadBit Games
PropHunter · EA older $3.99 917 79% 28k $110k (exactly $109,765) Alone Fox Games
Smash Hit Museum $6.99 507 85% 15k $106k (exactly $106,318) InIt Games
Coin Flipper older $2.99 483 84% 14k $43k (exactly $43,325) Simon Eftestol
5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL $1.99 535 93% 16k $32k (exactly $31,940) Team GZ, VADIM CHURILOV
Night Mysteries: The Amphora Prisoner older $10.99 90 63% 2.7k $30k (exactly $29,673) Anvate Games
Another Try older $2.99 290 50% 8.7k $26k (exactly $26,013) Hoki Wolf Studio
Mars Rover Simulator older $19.99 24 25% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) DexterCoding
Bottle Can Float $3.99 91 89% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) Kayla.Z
Trucker Horror $2.99 79 64% 2.4k $7.1k (exactly $7,086) Fireplay Studio
Adult spirit $3.99 52 84% 1.6k $6.2k (exactly $6,224) Inspite, W-I-W
Wet City $3.99 28 67% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Rabro
Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest $4.99 21 38% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) BugTeam
1000 hidden snails $1.99 46 56% 1.4k $2.7k (exactly $2,746) Anatoliy Loginovskikh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.