Do I ship it?

GamesHack and SlashHack and Slash + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Hack and Slash game?

Hack and Slash + Top-Down Shooter

Of 114 developers who shipped a Top-Down Shooter Hack and Slash game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 164 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $230; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×378 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 164 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 164 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hack and Slash + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 114
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $5.6k → $1.6k → $2.4k → $807 → $599 → $839 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hack and Slash + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 114
Bottom 30% $225 (exactly $225)
Median $807 (exactly $807)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,473)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,125)
Developers, 2 yr 114
Released games 283
Announced 164
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hack and Slash
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Hack and Slash, Top-Down Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 14,551 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $230, median $810, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $230. 8 in 10 of the 56 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 164 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hack and Slash with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  2. + Turn-Based CombatStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + VampiresFair32 devs · median $7.2k · 37 announced
  4. + ModernFair13 devs · median $7.2k · 20 announced
  5. + IdlerFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair40 devs · median $1.7k · 57 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds11 devs · median $119k · 25 announced
  8. + Visual NovelPoor odds11 devs · median $85k · 22 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds27 devs · median $58k · 80 announced
  10. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $33k · 20 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $21k · 26 announced

All 175 pairs on the Hack and Slash page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brotato older $4.99 111,407 95% 3.3M $17M (exactly $16,677,628) Blobfish
HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition older $19.99 25,663 90% 770k $15M (exactly $15,390,101) Arrowhead Game Studios
Darksiders Genesis older $29.99 10,379 82% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,337,986) Airship Syndicate
RUINER older $19.99 10,338 89% 310k $6.2M (exactly $6,199,699) Reikon Games
Killsquad older $29.99 2,839 71% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) Novarama
Tower of Babel: Survivors of Chaos $12.99 6,281 68% 188k $2.4M (exactly $2,447,706) NANOO
Wizard with a Gun older $24.99 2,932 80% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,198,120) Galvanic Games
ANVIL older $24.99 1,900 61% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,424,430) ACTION SQUARE
永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo older $10.99 3,023 83% 91k $997k (exactly $996,683) MyACG Studio
Soundfall older $29.99 996 73% 30k $896k (exactly $896,101) Drastic Games
KILL KNIGHT $14.99 1,804 93% 54k $811k (exactly $811,259) PlaySide
Asgard's Fall — Viking Survivors $9.99 1,301 79% 39k $390k (exactly $389,910) Soulpotion
Noobs Are Coming $7.99 1,580 82% 47k $379k (exactly $378,726) Overboy
[REDACTED] $24.99 328 81% 9.8k $246k (exactly $245,902) Striking Distance Studios
Slime 3K: Rise Against Despot $4.99 1,584 79% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Konfa Games
Dark Light: Survivor · EA $16.99 346 75% 10k $176k (exactly $176,356) Mirari&Co.
Bioweaver $6.99 668 77% 20k $140k (exactly $140,080) Emprom Game, Wild Kid Games
PengPong $12.99 260 84% 7.8k $101k (exactly $101,322) SANDY FLOOR
Time Treker $6.99 399 65% 12k $84k (exactly $83,670) Fuse Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.